At the end of day 3, Pakistan are 167 ahead with 5 wickets in hand. In terms of the future of the Test match, the respective desired scripts are quite clear. India would like to wrap things up as quickly as possible and finish the game on day 4, while Pakistan would like to prolong their third innings and take the game into day 5. As it stands now, if India are left to get anything over 225 in the 4th innings, it’s going to be tough. Given India’s decent but less than decisive advantage in the first innings, the 4th innings comes into play, handing the advantage to the side batting first, especially in the subcontinent.
One cannot help contrast the approach taken by Mohammad Sami and Zaheer Khan with the bat. Both had a set batsman at the other end. Time was of no essence in both cases, yet, Zaheer, given the choice of playing like Shoaib on the one hand, and Sami on the other, chose the former approach. Not surprisingly, his fate was quite similar to Shoaib’s. VVS Laxman was left stranded. For his part, VVS leaves himself open to criticism due to his alleged lack of urgency, and his unwillingness to shield the tail. He is right to expect the tail to be able to keep the bowling out, and he is also right in my view to take each and every single on offer. That is not selfishness, its simply taking everything that is on offer. It is also one of the reasons why the approach taken by Kumble in the first innings, does have its merits (may be not so much at 8/150, but certainly in the kind of situation Shoaib Malik found his side in). VVS’s approach and batting style is a cogent argument for him being promoted ahead of Sourav Ganguly. India may just be missing a trick there. When batting with the tail, the opposition invariably tends to concentrate of dismissing the tailender, while ignoring the specialist bat. This would suit Ganguly tremendously, and with his great ability to out guess/think the bowler (honed in the high pressure arena of powerplays in ODI cricket), he may just take his test career to a new level. Coming back to Zaheer and Sami though – Sami kept out close to 16 overs, facing Kumble, Zaheer Khan and co. It is probably fair to expect Zaheer or Harbhajan to have been able to do the same between them against the Pakistan attack. They need look no further than their captain in their are looking for a fine approach.
The Indian new ball pair failed to provide a break through with the second innings and it was left to the spinners to do all the work. That India have managed 5 wickets is creditable in the circumstances. Anil Kumble as always has been the key. His ability to control the runs and threaten wickets remains unsurpassed among Indian bowlers. Harbhajan Singh must have been heartened by his classical off spinners dismissal of the prolific Mohammad Yousuf.
This Test match appears to be evenly poised at the end of day 3. Given the fact that the wicket is likely to wear, Pakistan are probably slightly ahead at this moment. Yet, if you look at the first innings, the 45 run difference is largely because India first let Pakistan make about 70 runs more than they should have in their first innings, and then made about 20-30 runs less than they should have in their first innings. India have not closed out the game in the first innings itself. As a result, they now face the very real possibility of heading to the Eden Gardens with a series to save. Teams batting second have won 10 times at the Kotla, while teams batting first have won only 5 times. But that is only half the story. In all but 1 of the 15 Test match which have yielded a results, the first innings lead/deficit been less than 50 runs. Fourth innings run chases however have been quite successful, the best of these being the West Indies scoring 5/276 in 1987-88. Teams have won despite first innings deficits, but in each of those cases, they have won in by demolishing the opposition in the third innings. India beat Australia in 1969-70 despite conceding a 60 odd run deficit by bowling out Australia for 107.
The first session of day 4 will be crucial. The winner of that session will win the Test match…