The Two Indias blog on cricinfo has posed some irresistible questions
Is this something endemic to India that they produce world-class batsmen all the time, but never enough world-class bowlers at the same time? If so, are they condemned to being a second-rate Test side? And if not, do you hope in the new breed of young Indian bowlers that is coming up now? What do you think is the next step that India need to take to get there? Do you think they’re on the way? If you were the coach of India, what are the first five things you would do to make this team even better? Who would you bring in, who would you leave out? What are the hard decisions you would take?
Im going to present a view from outside the cricket journalism and cricket fraternities. I claim that it will be a cricketing view.
Successful Test teams have historically been built on solid batting lineups and wicket taking bowling teams. This aspect of a bowling lineup is quite important. Wasim Akram, bowling alongside Ajit Agarkar, Zaheer Khan, Ashish Nehra and a host of other late-thirties and mid-forties Test bowlers, would not have been the same potent bowling force that he was bowling alongside Imran Khan, Waqar Younis, Abdul Qadir, Mushtaq Ahmed and Saqlain Mushtaq. Settled bowling attacks can prepare as a team, can target batting lineups as a team, and their cumulative effect is invariable greater than the sum of the parts. The English success in the last 18 months is a case in point. Flintoff has been the all round star of their success, and Steve Harmison has been the star pace bowler. However, it is Matthew Hoggard, Simon Jones, James Anderson and Ashley Giles who have been crucial as bowlers to the English success. They maintain pressure when the star bowler is out of the bowling attack. Australia’s golden run in recent years has been built on a great core bowling combination, and on the occasions when Australia have not won series, it has been either because one of their core bowlers has been bested (India, 2001) or when their bowling lineup has been disrupted due to injuries (vs India 2003-04, Ashes 2005). Australia have never lost a Test series in which McGrath and Warne have played. Indeed, they have never lost a live Test match in which McGrath and Warne have both featured since 1999, except for Kolkata (2001) and Chennai (2001).
India have had 1 bowler of this quality over the last 14 years – Anil Kumble. Kumble gets criticized for his overseas bowling effort, but i did a study some months ago about him, and found that even with his statistically moderate overseas record, he outperforms the other bowlers in the team even overseas. In India, the man is a champion. 5 wickets per test, and 23 runs/wicket is a match winning record. Overseas, whats missed is that Anil Kumble outperforms the pacemen. Kumble has taken more wickets/test at a cheaper runs/wicket average overseas, as compared to the other bowlers in the side, in the Tests that he’s played overseas.
The key for India, will be to identify a bowling squad for the Test team and persist with it. Munaf Patel made an exciting Test debut, and Irfan Pathan would be a very high quality bowling all rounder. Persisting with the 5 batsmen + Dhoni + Pathan + 4 bowlers policy over a longish period of time seems to be the way to go.
Another problem India will face in the near future is the middle order. With Tendulkar on the wane (if not in terms of ability, then definitely in terms of fitness and injuries!) and Yuvraj Singh still trying to establish himself, the nucleus of a new middle order is still not in sight. The problem with the Test middle order is that it is hard to try people out. The requirements of a Test batsman are different from the requirements of an ODI batsman. It is rare for a batsman to come into a Test team and straight away demonstrate that hes the man for the next 10 years. It has happened 3 times for India in the last 16 years – Tendulkar, Ganguly and Dravid. Realistically, a Test batsman will have a Laxmanesque or Gangulyesque career graph (as a middle order bat). The problem that India are likely to face with their batting is the exact opposite of the problem they face with their fast bowling. In an attempt to live up to existing benchmarks, which are almost impossible to deliberately aspire to, India run the risk of a batting decline, not unlike the West Indian fast bowling decline.
Bowling teams win Test matches – that is how Test cricket is structured. India win fewer Test matches inspite of scoring about 35 runs/wicket in Test cricket, than Pakistan, who score only about 32 runs/wicket over the same period. Are bowlers on the way? I don’t really know. The two tier domestic structure should encourage a higher standard of first class cricket in India.
There is a lot of talk of systems – what BCCI should do, what structures we should have etc. etc. that gets thrown about. The history of cricket however suggests, that it is the lure of this great game that has inspired the outrageously talented cricketers to excel and become great Test cricketers. All of Pakistan’s great cricketers, in the words of the great Imran Khan honed their skills in county cricket and became the champions that they eventually became. Inzamam Ul Haq and Waqar Younis are the rare exceptions who were world class right from the very beginning. What goes for Pakistani talent also goes for the West Indians who played under Clive Lloyd and Vivian Richards. In the same era however, English teams have not been quite as strong.
Systems are important, but history tells us that true greatness, which wins Test matches, happens inspite of the best intentions. In the Indian side itself we have seen glimpses of this – Sourav Ganguly, Anil Kumble, Virendra Sehwag, Mahendra Singh Dhoni – are all unorthodox in their respective skills. If you look around in world cricket, the most effective performers have been those who have basically adhered to the principles of batting or bowling (which themselves are seen to have evolved in terms of their definitions), but have played their own way.
The secret of sustained success must therefore lie not in aspiring to manufacture greatness, or in hoping that it will emerge by identifying trends, but by building a structure where the basic quality of first class cricket in India will be high – higher than it has ever been in the past. If that means better wickets, or better umpiring, or stiffer schedules or better outfields or all these things and more, then that will have to be pursued. To try and produce the next Tendulkar or Dravid or Kumble or Kapil or Gavaskar, would be a folly, because greatness by definition, is an exception to the rule.
In the immediate term, one would give this team management a little bit of time before commenting on performance. Tendulkar’s inevitable form slump has unfortunately coincided with the advent of the Chappell-Dravid era. This has been a crippling blow, and with a normal Tendulkar, India would concievably not have lost at Karachi or Mumbai. The Mumbai loss was also down to quixotic team selection and a decision from the captain at the toss, which can be best described as ambitious. Indian Test batting success has been down to Sehwag, Dravid, Tendulkar, Laxman and Ganguly. Ganguly has been dropped, Laxman was left out because 5 bowlers were played, and Yuvraj had to be played, Tendulkar and Sehwag have been struggling with their form. So i don’t think there has been a fundamental decline in the Test team.
Whatever development that has to take place has to happen at the first class level if it is to be of any consequence. The new phenomenon in first class cricket in recent years has been the emergence of seam bowlers averaging in the early to mid twenties with the ball. This is a good sign, and in a few years, a low twenties first class bowling average in Indias first class cricket will actually mean something. Selection for the national side is invariably done on potential and presence of “class” in the player, rather than purely on first class performance. The vast majority of national team members come through A, age-group and NCA ranks.
If I was Greg Chappell (wouldn’t that be nice!), i would long for an overseas tour, away from the hurly burly of the two minute pundits, where the team can play a series of Test matches, the batsmen can make some runs, the bowlers can put in some long spells, and i could find out more about my players. The big tours for India come up in the next 20 months – away series in South Africa and England in 2006-07 and away series in Australia and New Zealand in 2007-08. With those in mind, developing the fast bowling squad would be the first thing on my mind. By then, Tendulkar and Dravid will be 35 years old each, and Kumble will be 37. Those would be my medium term issues. Chappell himself would know only too well what the simultaneous retirement of players does to a team.
The immediate goal then would be to ensure that the Tendulkar-Dravid-Kumble era in Indias’ cricketing adventure meets with a fitting end.
http://cricketingview.blogspot.com